[lbo-talk] Re: just keep driving

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Tue Sep 21 13:55:21 PDT 2004


frank scott wrote:


>anybody tell this schmuck that oats grow rather quickly, but petro takes
>a few billion years to replenish its stock?

The New York Times - September 14, 2004

Petroleum From Decay? Maybe Not, Study Says

By NICHOLAS WADE

Long-dead plant matter may not be the world's only source of hydrocarbons. Twelve miles or more beneath its surface, in hellish temperatures and under pressures 50,000 times that at sea level, the earth itself may be generating methane, say researchers who have squeezed common rock and water together to reproduce these conditions.

The discovery bears on a longstanding argument about the source of petroleum and whether deposits are generated by rotting vegetation or by inorganic processes. "If the answer turns out to be inorganic, this has huge implications for the ecology and economy of our planet as well as for the chemistry of other planets," said the physicist Dr. Freeman Dyson, of the Institute for Advanced Study at Princeton, in a written comment, adding that the new work showed how to do experiments that will tackle the question. Most experts agree that commercially significant oil and gas deposits are biological in origin.

The finding was made at the Geophysical Laboratory of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, a leader in studying geology at high pressures, and is being reported today in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It was conducted by a team led by Dr. Henry Scott, now at Indiana University.

Dr. Scott said the work was inspired by the writings of Dr. Thomas Gold, a maverick astrophysicist who spun off a stream of brilliant ideas, many of them correct, before his death in June. In the still undecided category remains Dr. Gold's thesis that hydrocarbons are an abundant natural constituent of the earth that constantly seep to the surface; petroleum deposits only seem to be biological in origin, he suggested, because they are contaminated with materials made by a subsurface kingdom of chemical-eating microbes.

Several aspects of Dr. Gold's thesis have been corroborated, including the discovery of the subsurface microbes as well as certain sources of methane gas that are clearly not biological.

To check another aspect of Dr. Gold's thesis, Dr. Scott took marble and water, with iron oxide as a catalyst, and put them in a diamond anvil cell, a device for studying materials at extremely high pressures. He found that at pressures corresponding to those some 12 miles beneath the earth's surface, the water disintegrated, and its hydrogen atoms joined the carbon atoms in the marble rock to form methane.

"This work suggests that natural gas, which people in the West have assumed is primarily biological in origin, may not be so much so," said Dr. Dudley Herschbach, a Nobel-Prize-winning chemist at Harvard and a co-author of the study. "I think all of this will lead people to take Tom Gold more seriously than many were inclined to."

Dr. Barbara Sherwood Lollar, a geologist at the University of Toronto, said the finding that methane can be generated in the earth's mantle was important and "a missing piece of the story." Dr. Lollar studies deep subsurface microbes on behalf of NASA, which is interested in the possibility of microbial life beneath the surface of Mars and other planets.

Dr. Lollar has developed an isotope-based method for testing whether hydrocarbons have been made inorganically or through the heating of organic matter. Some of the hydrocarbon emissions tested were inorganic, but most were of biological origin.

Inorganic methane generation is much more of a worldwide phenomenon than had been supposed, she said, but the quantities produced are probably diffuse, compared with the rich deposits of biologically generated hydrocarbons.

Dr. Scott and his colleagues say their finding about the generation of methane "has broad implications for the hydrocarbon budget of the planet."

The researchers plan to see if more complex hydrocarbons, like ethane and butane, can be generated at the higher pressures deeper in the earth.

Their data was analyzed by scientists the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory which, because of its work on the thermodynamics of nuclear weapons, is familiar with the intense pressures and temperatures found deep in the earth.

---

Wall Street Journal - April 16, 1999

Odd Reservoir Off Louisiana Prods Oil Experts to Seek a Deeper Meaning

By CHRISTOPHER COOPER Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

HOUSTON -- Something mysterious is going on at Eugene Island 330. Production at the oil field, deep in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Louisiana, was supposed to have declined years ago. And for a while, it behaved like any normal field: Following its 1973 discovery, Eugene Island 330's output peaked at about 15,000 barrels a day. By 1989, production had slowed to about 4,000 barrels a day.

Then suddenly -- some say almost inexplicably -- Eugene Island's fortunes reversed. The field, operated by PennzEnergy Co., is now producing 13,000 barrels a day, and probable reserves have rocketed to more than 400 million barrels from 60 million. Stranger still, scientists studying the field say the crude coming out of the pipe is of a geological age quite different from the oil that gushed 10 years ago.

Fill 'er Up

All of which has led some scientists to a radical theory: Eugene Island is rapidly refilling itself, perhaps from some continuous source miles below the Earth's surface. That, they say, raises the tantalizing possibility that oil may not be the limited resource it is assumed to be.

"It kind of blew me away," says Jean Whelan, a geochemist and senior researcher from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts. Connected to Woods Hole since 1973, Dr. Whelan says she considered herself a traditional thinker until she encountered the phenomenon in the Gulf of Mexico. Now, she says, "I believe there is a huge system of oil just migrating" deep underground.

Conventional wisdom says the world's supply of oil is finite, and that it was deposited in horizontal reservoirs near the surface in a process that took millions of years. Since the economies of entire countries ride on the fundamental notion that oil reserves are exhaustible, any contrary evidence "would change the way people see the game, turn the world view upside down," says Daniel Yergin, a petroleum futurist and industry consultant in Cambridge, Mass. "Oil and renewable resource are not words that often appear in the same sentence."

Mideast Mystery Doomsayers to the contrary, the world contains far more recoverable oil than was believed even 20 years ago. Between 1976 and 1996, estimated global oil reserves grew 72%, to 1.04 trillion barrels. Much of that growth came in the past 10 years, with the introduction of computers to the oil patch, which made drilling for oil more predictable.

Still, most geologists are hard-pressed to explain why the world's greatest oil pool, the Middle East, has more than doubled its reserves in the past 20 years, despite half a century of intense exploitation and relatively few new discoveries. It would take a pretty big pile of dead dinosaurs and prehistoric plants to account for the estimated 660 billion barrels of oil in the region, notes Norman Hyne, a professor at the University of Tulsa in Oklahoma. "Off-the-wall theories often turn out to be right," he says.

Even some of the most staid U.S. oil companies find the Eugene Island discoveries intriguing. "These reservoirs are refilling with oil," acknowledges David Sibley, a Chevron Corp. geologist who has monitored the work at Eugene Island.

Mr. Sibley cautions, however, that much research remains to be done on the source of that oil. "At this point, it's not black and white. It's gray," he says.

Although the world has been drilling for oil for generations, little is known about the nature of the resource or the underground activities that led to its creation. And because even conservative estimates say known oil reserves will last 40 years or more, most big oil companies haven't concerned themselves much with hunting for deep sources like the reservoirs scientists believe may exist under Eugene Island.

Economics never hindered the theorists, however. One, Thomas Gold, a respected astronomer and professor emeritus at Cornell University in Ithaca, N.Y., has held for years that oil is actually a renewable, primordial syrup continually manufactured by the Earth under ultrahot conditions and tremendous pressures. As this substance migrates toward the surface, it is attacked by bacteria, making it appear to have an organic origin dating back to the dinosaurs, he says. While many scientists discount Prof. Gold's theory as unproved, "it made a believer out of me," says Robert Hefner, chairman of Seven Seas Petroleum Inc., a Houston firm that specializes in ultradeep drilling and has worked with the professor on his experiments. Seven Seas continues to use "conventional" methods in seeking reserves, though the halls of the company often ring with dissent. "My boss and I yell at each other all the time about these theories," says Russ Cunningham, a geologist and exploration manager for Seven Seas who isn't sold on Prof. Gold's ideas.

Energy Vacuum

Knowing that clever theories don't fill the gas tank, Roger Anderson, an oceanographer and executive director of Columbia University's Energy Research Center in New York, proposed studying the behavior of oil in a reservoir in hopes of finding a new way to help companies vacuum up what their drilling was leaving behind.

He focused on Eugene Island, a kidney-shaped subsurface mountain that slopes steeply into the Gulf depths. About 80 miles off the Louisiana coast, the underwater landscape surrounding Eugene Island is otherworldly, cut with deep fissures and faults that spontaneously belch gas and oil. In 1985, as he stood on the deck of a shrimp boat towing an oil-sniffing contraption through the area, Dr. Anderson pondered Eugene Island's strange history. "Migrating oil and anomalous production. I sort of linked the two ideas together," he says. Five years later, the U.S. Department of Energy ponied up $10 million to investigate the Eugene Island geologic formation, and especially the oddly behaving field at its crest. A consortium of companies leasing chunks of the formation, including such giants as Chevron, Exxon Corp. and Texaco Corp., matched the federal grant.

Time and Space

The Eugene Island researchers began their investigation about the same time that 3-D seismic technology was introduced to the oil business, allowing geologists to see promising reservoirs as a cavern in the ground rather than as a line on a piece of paper . Taking the technology one step further, Dr. Anderson used a powerful computer to stack 3-D images of Eugene Island on top of one another. That resulted in a 4-D image, showing not only the reservoir in three spatial dimensions, but showing also the movement of its contents over time as PennzEnergy siphoned out oil.

What Dr. Anderson noticed as he played his time-lapse model was how much oil PennzEnergy had missed over the years. The remaining crude, surrounded by water and wobbling like giant globs of Jell-O in the computer model, gave PennzEnergy new targets as it reworked Eugene Island.

What captivated scientists, though, was a deep fault in the bottom corner of the computer scan that was gushing oil like a garden hose. "We could see the stream," Dr. Anderson says. "It wasn't even debated that it was happening."

Woods Hole's Dr. Whelan, invited by Dr. Anderson to join the Eugene Island investigation, postulated that superheated methane gas -- a compound that is able to absorb vast amounts of oil -- was carrying crude from a deep source below. The age of the crude pushed through the stream, and its hotter temperature helped support that theory. The scientists decided to drill into the fault.

Unlucky Strike

As prospectors, the scientists were fairly lucky. As researchers they weren't. The first well they drilled hit natural gas, a pocket so pressurized "that it scared us," Dr. Anderson says; that well is still producing. The second stab, however, collapsed the fault. "Some oil flowed. I have 15 gallons of it in my closet," Dr. Anderson says. But it wasn't successful enough to advance Dr. Whelan's theory.

A third well was drilled at a spot on an adjacent lease, where the fault disappeared from seismic view. The researchers missed the stream but hit a fair-size reservoir, one that is still producing.

It was here, in 1995, that the scientists ran out of grant money and PennzEnergy lost interest in continuing. "I'm not discounting the possibility that there is oil moving into these reservoirs," says William Van Wie, a PennzEnergy senior vice president. "I question only the rate."

Dr. Whelan hasn't lost interest, however, and is seeking to investigate further the mysterious vents and seeps. While industry geologists have generally assumed such eruptions are merely cracks in a shallow oil reservoir, they aren't sure. Noting that many of the seeps are occurring in deep water, rather than in the relative shallows of the continental shelf, Dr. Whelan wonders if they may link a deeper source.

This summer, a tiny submarine chartered by a Louisiana State University researcher will attempt to install a series of measuring devices on vents near the Eugene Island property. Dr. Whelan hopes this will give her some idea of how quickly Eugene Island is refilling. "We need to know if we're talking years or if we're talking hundreds of thousands of years," she says.



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