[lbo-talk] Ruy Teixeira on why most of the polls are crap

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Thu Sep 23 09:27:53 PDT 2004


Wojtek Sokolowski wrote:


>Yes. Telephone polls tend to "oversample" older people who tend to stay
>home, and these tend to be more conservative and pro-republican. Main
>reasons are that younger people are more mobile, they tend to move more
>frequently and thus have specific phone numbers registered in their names
>changed or disconnected, they also more likely not to have land lines
>altogether and use only cell phones.

But they're supposed to compensate for this in the weighting scheme, or at least try to.

Doug



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