[lbo-talk] accuracy of tracking polls

[Alex Gerdemann]

A while ago someone posted a historical comparison of
final poll results with actual election returns.  The
results seemed to indicate that the polling was fairly
accurate.  However, I'm wondering what that tells us
about the accuracy of tracking polls.  Perhaps
pollsters use larger sample sizes or more rigorous
methodology as the election approaches, but smaller
samples and quicker questions in earlier "tracking"
polls.  Has anyone seen anything about this?

-Alex

		
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