[lbo-talk] IBD/TIPP: tight race

Jon Johanning jjohanning at igc.org
Thu Sep 30 20:57:42 PDT 2004


On Sep 30, 2004, at 6:38 PM, Doug Henwood wrote:


> Pollsters agree you shouldn't rely on a single poll. A rough and ready
> solution is to average out recent surveys. Real Clear Politics'
> average shows Bush with a 5.9-point lead over Kerry in a three-way
> race.

But if one or more polls are wildly inaccurate, then the average would still be inaccurate, though not as much.

Jon Johanning // jjohanning at igc.org __________________________________ When I was a little boy, I had but a little wit, 'Tis a long time ago, and I have no more yet; Nor ever ever shall, until that I die, For the longer I live the more fool am I. -- Wit and Mirth, an Antidote against Melancholy (1684)



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