<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=us-ascii"> <META content="MSHTML 6.00.2800.1400" name=GENERATOR></HEAD> <BODY> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004><FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2>At least one benefit of a Kerry victory would be to kill</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004><FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2>this stupid model once and for all.</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004><FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004><FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2>mbs</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004><FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff size=2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV dir=ltr align=left><SPAN class=212491120-03082004></SPAN> </DIV><BR> <DIV class=OutlookMessageHeader lang=en-us dir=ltr align=left> <HR tabIndex=-1> <FONT face=Tahoma size=2><B>From:</B> lbo-talk-bounces@lbo-talk.org [mailto:lbo-talk-bounces@lbo-talk.org] <B>On Behalf Of </B>mike larkin<BR><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, August 03, 2004 12:37 PM<BR><B>To:</B> lbo-talk@lbo-talk.org<BR><B>Subject:</B> [lbo-talk] Yale Economist's Model: Bush Will Win By A Landslide<BR></FONT><BR></DIV> <DIV></DIV> <P><FONT style="FONT-SIZE: 11px" face="verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif">"According to Fair's analysis and input values (which you can <A href="http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/vote2004/computev.htm">try out yourself</A> on his site), President Bush will win a landslide in the popular vote by more than 57 percent. <A href="http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/vote2004/vot0704.htm">Fair analyzes it here</A>, but he also points out that no matter what happens, Bush is very unlikely to lose under this model: "</FONT></P> <P><A href="http://www.redstate.org/story/2004/8/3/72248/70303">http://www.redstate.org/story/2004/8/3/72248/70303</A></P> <P> <HR SIZE=1> Do you Yahoo!?<BR><A href="http://us.rd.yahoo.com/mail_us/taglines/10/*http://promotions.yahoo.com/new_mail/static/efficiency.html">New and Improved Yahoo! Mail</A> - Send 10MB messages!</BODY></HTML>