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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I didn't jump into the Chicken Little Sky is
Falling debates over the weekend, but just a reminder that a lot of polls are
showing a very close race still:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The Economist pollsters surveyed 2702 respondents
from Sept 6-8 (completely after Convention and Labor Day) and found the race
essentially dead even (margin of error +/- 2), with strong disapproval of Bush
on job performance and where the country is going:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><A
href="http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovJ.pdf">http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovJ.pdf</A><A
href="http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovH.pdf"></A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>(Also see Zogby/Wall Street
Journal state-by-state polls showing Kerry with a lead in the electoral
college:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><A
href="http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=860">http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=860</A>)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Here are some of the internals:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>
<DIV class=blockquote>Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY.
Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F Kerry, the
Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?
<P>Total; Def to vote (Last week, Two Weeks ago)<BR>George Bush 46% (44, 44);
47% (46, 45)<BR>John Kerry 45% (45, 47); 46% (49, 51)<BR>Ralph Nader 1% (2, 2);
1% (2, 1)<BR>Someone else 3% 2%<BR>Would not vote 0% 0%<BR>Don't know 5% 3%
<P>As of now, what do you think you are most likely to end up doing on November
2?
<P>(Total, Def to vote)<BR>George W Bush 47% 48%<BR>John F Kerry 46%
47%<BR>Ralph Nader 2% 2%<BR>Someone else 4% 3%<BR>Not vote at all 1% 0%
<P>In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going
in the United States at this time?
<P>(Total, Def to vote)<BR>Satisfied 37% 41%<BR>Dissatisfied 57% 57%<BR>Don't
know 5% 3%
<P>Do you approve or disapprove of the way President George W. Bush is handling
his job as president?
<P>(Total, Def to vote)<BR>Approve 42% 45%<BR>Disapprove 52% 52%<BR>Don't know
6% 3%
<P>Who would you prefer to be in control of the CONGRESS after the next
election?
<P>(Total, Def to vote)<BR>Democrats 44% 46%<BR>Republicans 38% 42%<BR>Don't
Know 18% 12%</P>
<P>------</P>
<P> </P>
<P> </P></DIV></FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A title=mike_larkin2001@yahoo.com
href="mailto:mike_larkin2001@yahoo.com">mike larkin</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=lbo-talk@lbo-talk.org
href="mailto:lbo-talk@lbo-talk.org">lbo-talk@lbo-talk.org</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, September 09, 2004 11:35
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [lbo-talk] New CBS Poll: Bad
News For Kerry </DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<P><STRONG>"CBS) </STRONG>One week after their convention, the Republican
ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney hold a seven-point lead over
Democrats John Kerry and John Edwards among registered voters surveyed in a
new <B>CBS News</B> poll. <BR><BR>The Republicans’ gain in voter support comes
about through two changes that appear to have happened at that convention – a
major improvement in the President’s approval ratings on handling terrorism
(already the area where he scored best), and significant negative changes in
perceptions of the Democratic nominee." </P>
<P><A
href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/09/09/opinion/polls/main642108.shtml">http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/09/09/opinion/polls/main642108.shtml</A><BR><BR></P>
<P>
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<P>
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