[lbo-talk] Better Than China, Saudi Arabia, Etc.!

KJ kjinkhoo at gmail.com
Tue Aug 16 10:18:47 PDT 2005


On 8/16/05, Chris Doss <lookoverhere1 at yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> Whatever accounts for the drop has to explain why it
> affected men and not women.
>
> Infectious diseases -- no, except insofar as men are
> more likely to be incarcerated and/or use IV drugs.
>
> Violence and suicide -- yes, but not to that extent.
> Russia's not a killing field. Moscow's murder rate is
> half New York's (going by official states circa 2000).
>
> Heart attacks -- yes, but what causes them? Why are
> men dying young of heart attacks and women not?
>
> Alcohol poisoning -- I've mentioned this, and yes.
> Russian women are much less likely than men to drink
> to excess and especially to binge drink.

Went back to the CDC reports. There are two of them

Anyway, the earlier of the reports provides the ff. summary, and note that while there were differences between men and women, there was an increased mortality for both sexes:

* life expectancy at birth declined to 65.1 yrs in 1993, from peak of 69.3 in 1985, falling more sharply for men than for women, but both fell;

* IMR's fell, as did MMR's slightly

* age-adjusted death rates rose 24% btw 1990 and 1993, reversing downward trend of 1970s and 1980s, with biggest changes in 25-34 (rose by 58%) and 35-44 (rose by 68%), but mortality rates increased in all age groups and for both sexes;

* age-adjusted mortality for heart disease rose by 18% for both sexes combined, by 22% for males, btw 1990 and 1993; this accounted for 1/5 of the increase in all-cause mortality

* age-adj death rate for stroke increased 13%, after relatively stable rates in the 1980s.

* together stroke and heart disease accounted for 1/3 of the rise in all-cause mortality

* mortality from other external causes rose by 93%; male mortality from other external causes rose 90% , and female mortality 88%

* age-adj mortality rate for homicide rose 110%, and suicide rate rose 40%; together accounted for 1/10 of increase in all-cause mortality

* mortality from pneumonia & influenza more than doubled, mostly took place from 1992 to 1993, with growth in death rate for males much greater than for females

* from 1990-93, rate of diphtheria cases per 100k pop rose by 1,200%; also substantial increase in the incidence of VD, incl 78% rise in gonorrhea and five-fold increase in syphilis

The later report tabulates rates of change for 1990-94 and 1994-98, and we see a reversal in most of the causes of death, i.e. increases in 1990-94, followed by declines in 1994-98.

Note: theirs is not a discussion so much of the causes of death, but of the changing rates for the various causes, and their relative contribution to the increased mortality of 1990-94.

FWIW

kj



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