[lbo-talk] AP Poll-- Bush at 39% (: Bush approval at 37%

Nathan Newman nathanne at nathannewman.org
Fri Oct 7 14:29:11 PDT 2005


Hers's the poll http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/client/act_dsp_pdf.cfm?name=mr051007-3topline.pdf&id=2817

This one uses three options on approval and disapproval, plus a "mixed feelings" option in the middle.

The most interesting result was that Bush held onto slightly higher "strong approval" in this version (21%), but even with three versions of disapproval, 39% of the population said they "strongly disapprove" of Bush.

Bush has a really large chunk of the population hating him and it doesn't look likely to change. Which could make the next mid-term elections if they decide the only way to punish him is to hit Congress.

----- Original Message ----- From: "Doug Henwood" <dhenwood at panix.com> To: <lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org> Sent: Friday, October 07, 2005 12:04 PM Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] CBS Poll: Bush approval at 37%

Nathan Newman wrote:


>Rasmussen aggregates the Strongly Approve and the Somewhat Approve
>categories into his overall Approval rating , which means it's probably not
>completely comparable to other polls with a yes-no question.
>
>Since Rasmussen gives four options, unlike some other polls, I think he
>tilts towards approval since folks with mixed feelings can grab onto the
>"somewhat approve" slot.

Good point. It's bad polling practice to offer an even number of choices on a question like this, since it doesn't allow for a middle ground. Other polls have "mixed" or "unsure" or both as options.

Someone on AAPORnet says Rasmussen is a Republican house with no real polling background.

Doug ___________________________________ http://mailman.lbo-talk.org/mailman/listinfo/lbo-talk



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