[lbo-talk] Evacuating half a million people

jthorn65 at sbcglobal.net jthorn65 at sbcglobal.net
Mon Sep 5 12:24:31 PDT 2005


How did Cuba evacuate 1.5M to 1.9M for Cat 5 Ivan in Sept. 2004? It was a last minute decision after Ivan made its unexpected westward jog late Saturday.

John Thornton

On 5 Sep 2005 at 12:21, snitsnat wrote:


> War game (I didn't work for the fucker for nothin')= :)
>
> You have approximately 12 hrs to do it from the time the first bus leaves
> to the time you can safely get the last bus shipped off. Roads shut down
> when winds hit 40 mph. If you're lucky and they're passable at all. One
> major fender bender or downed powerlines/trees across a highway if the
> hurricane kicks up a storm (very likely) while people are trekking (I
> presume) northward. Or do you go west? Or east?
>
> You're dealing with a Cat 4 hurricane
>
> you know that the average highway speed is 25-35 mph
>
> If you gas up all the buses, you deplete (by half) the supply you have for
> gassing up generators, emergency vehicles, and police cars for the aftermath
>
> 95% of your experienced bus drivers have bugged out.
>
> You realize you can't get them all out and you don't have the authority to
> do so as mayor anyway.
>
> Who do you get to drive the buses?
> Who do you spare from hurricane preparation to round up these folks?
> Remember that you will add to the hospital load with accidents because
> you've forced more traffic on the roads to notify people, go door to door,
> and move back and forth between neighborhoods to staging areas.



More information about the lbo-talk mailing list