[lbo-talk] Fwd: 1970's redux and where do we go from here?

Seth Ackerman sethackerman1 at verizon.net
Sat Apr 22 12:01:55 PDT 2006


Doug Henwood wrote:


> Seth Ackerman wrote:
>
>> But it's only being driven by oil this time. Core inflation isn't
>> particularly high. Inflation isn't built into the structure of wages
>> and prices like it used to be.
>
>
> No it's not. But Wall St is getting a little carried away looking only
> at the core (which excludes food & energy); that strips away almost a
> quarter of the index's market basket. The headline CPI is at 3.4%
> year-on-year, which is well above the 1-2% that used to be regarded as
> price stability.
>

In theory, a period of higher inflation would probably do the US some good, what with all this household debt. But isn't it a problem that inflation is so concentrated in food and energy (and transport)? It means that while most people are producing low-inflation output, they're consuming a lot of high-inflation output. So it ends up more like a tax than a way of inflating away debt.

Seth



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