[lbo-talk] Lebanon - US strategy collapses

Dwayne Monroe idoru345 at yahoo.com
Sun Jul 30 18:51:16 PDT 2006


Bill Bartlett:

The strategy of Hizbullah is quite interesting. At first I thought they were as deranged as the Israelis, firing missiles aimlessly over the border, in what seemed a completely impotent gesture. That sort of behaviour is practically an admission of defeat.

But it seems there might have been method to their madness after all.

It appears the missiles were not a futile gesture, but a deliberate strategic provocation, designed to force the Israelis to come out from behind their hi-tech battlements. In other words, to draw them into an invasion of Lebanon, where Hizbollah was waiting in ambush. A cunning strategy. Israel has to invade to stop the rocket attacks, because bombing hasn't worked. Yet they know that this exactly what their enemy wants and has prepared for.

...............

Yes, this is precisely what people such as Wlliam Lind, experienced, close observers of military events have been saying since almost the beginning.

Indeed, one of the most striking things about this catastrophe is the Hizbollah's complete lack of fear in the face of IDF materiel superiority.

Clearly, the Hizbollah have taken their enemy's full measure and correctly determined its offensive capabilities can be neutralized.

Not even the border territories can be held without serious IDF casualties. As Lind said in an opinion piece Mike Larkin posted to the list

see -

<http://mailman.lbo-talk.org/pipermail/lbo-talk/Week-of-Mon-20060724/042844.html>

Hizbollah is fighting more like a light infantry force than a guerrilla group.

Israeli ships now face attacks from Chinese C802 anti-ship missiles - an unexpected part of Hizbollah's arsenal. IAF helicopters and fighters are now targeted by SAM 7 (Strela 2) shoulder mounted surface to air missiles.

IDF troops are ambushed and assaulted from multiple positions when they advance into urban areas.

The conditions that made Israel's 1982 advance into Lebanon swift and, at first, almost casualty free have disappeared.

Tel Aviv and Washington are playing catch-up to the new situation.

.d.

The most important isotope of plutonium is 239Pu, with a half-life of 24,110 years.

...................... http://monroelab.net/blog/



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