> More sophisticated poll analysis suggests that issues such as
> abortion and same sex marriage DID play a role in certain key
> states that voted for Bush.
>
> http://www.trincoll.edu/depts/csrpl/RINVol8No1/WhyMoral%
> 20ValuesDidCount.htm
>
[...]
>
> Matt Dowd and Grover Norquist are dubious at best at the ability of
> same-sex marriage initiatives to drive turnout, reports Newsweek's
> Rosenberg. LINK
>
No one doubts that religious conservatives were a major portion of Bush's base. But the quoted bits turn on turnout; the study Chip cites doesn't mention turnout at all.
Doug