[lbo-talk] RIGZONE - Venezuela Buys (Russian) Oil to Meet Contracts

Michael Pugliese michael.098762001 at gmail.com
Thu May 4 09:22:43 PDT 2006


http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=31765
>...According to the Financial Times: "Venezuela, the world's
fifth-largest oil exporter, has struck a $2bn deal to buy about 100,000 barrels a day of crude oil from Russia until the end of the year. Venezuela has been forced to turn to an outside source to avoid defaulting on contracts with "clients" and "third parties" as it faces a shortfall in production, according to a person familiar with the deal. Venezuela could incur penalties if it fails to meet its supply contracts."

"Under President Hugo Chávez, PDVSA's oil output has declined by about 60 per cent..." (Argued about here http://rcs.salon.com/rcsComments/comments?u=1330&p=2830&link=http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.salon.com%2F0001330%2F2006%2F04%2F28.html%23a2830 via http://blogs.salon.com/0001330/2006/04/28.html#a2830 )

( http://news.ft.com/cms/s/1d5dfe3a-d653-11da-8b3a-0000779e2340.html )


>...In 2005, we wrote about "Venezuela's oil receipts," and the
significant questions being raised, including a "shortfall in PDVSA cash deposits to Venezuela's central bank" of "perhaps by as much as $2 billion."

The trail of that story grew cold, but the questions did not. In fact, little has changed. In 2005, we reported that the alleged shortfall was "not totally verifiable, since PDVSA has not filed papers with the SEC in at least two years."

Indeed, no one really knows what PDVSA's books really hold. As we reported recently, Venezuela is no longer going to report PDVSA's finances to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The Times article confirms several points we made in May 2005 in our Marketwatch.com article, titled "Running on empty."

In the article we noted: ["Stratfor.com estimates that since Chavez became president, starting in 1998, "PDVSA has lost about 1.5 million bpd of its net crude oil production." The main reasons have been the replacement of capable engineers and workers who disagreed with Chavez's revolutionary views, with inexperienced, and in many cases incapable replacements, and the lack of attention to infrastructure maintenance and improvement. The result of the bad management and neglect, has been the steady erosion and near incapacitation of a major oil-producing region of Venezuela, the Western portion of the country, where as many as 10,000 wells have been estimated to have been rendered mostly useless. Venezuela is nominally the world's fifth largest oil producer."]

One year later, the Times reports: "The move suggests a growing gap between Venezuela's declining domestic output and its expanding contractual obligations to international customers."

According to the Times quoting "Under President Hugo Chávez, PDVSA's oil output has declined by about 60 per cent, a trend analysts say has accelerated in the past year because of poor technical management." -- Michael Pugliese



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