[lbo-talk] Iraq excess death study up

www.leninology. blogspot.com leninology at hotmail.com
Thu Oct 12 12:14:07 PDT 2006


Doug wrote:


> The Lancet has posted the study showing 650,000 excess deaths as a
> result of the U.S. invasion: <http://www.thelancet.com/journals/
> lancet/article/PIIS0140673606694919/fulltext>.

I want to mention that one aspect of the significance of these figures is what they portend. If you look at the rate of acceleration in violent deaths alone, you notice that the rate of deaths has doubled each year. Hence the little curvy line on the graph (I'm simplifying my language because I am addressing an economist [insert smiley]).

Anyway, the US government has declared that it will stay in Iraq until 2010. On the present rate of acceleration, the total violent deaths by mid-2010 would be close to 10 million. That isn't me being wild and woolly, that's the trend as it presently stands. It could plateau, decelerate or even increase: if they could accomplish a massive civil war, which coincided with increased resistance and the repression of it, 10 million would not be too lofty an aim for the Bush administration. It would be over a third of the population, which is roughly the proportion killed by the Indonesians in East Timor. Genocide, in other words.


> I await Michael Pugliese's effort to discredit this methodologically
> orthodox study, published in one of the world's leading medical
> journals.

Didn't you see Bush's speech? The report isn't credible. General Casey said so. The Iraqi government said so. What else do you need to hear? _________________________________________________________________ Be one of the first to try Windows Live Mail. http://ideas.live.com/programpage.aspx?versionId=5d21c51a-b161-4314-9b0e-4911fb2b2e6d



More information about the lbo-talk mailing list