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<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face=Arial color=#000000 size=2>More sophisticated poll analysis suggests that issues such as abortion and same sex marriage DID play a role in certain key states that voted for Bush.</FONT></DIV>
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<DIV dir=ltr><A href="http://www.trincoll.edu/depts/csrpl/RINVol8No1/WhyMoral%20ValuesDidCount.htm">http://www.trincoll.edu/depts/csrpl/RINVol8No1/WhyMoral%20ValuesDidCount.htm</A></DIV>
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<DIV dir=ltr><SPAN lang=en-us><FONT face=Arial color=#cc0000>Why Moral Values Did Count</FONT><FONT color=#ff0000><BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial>by </FONT><A href="https://mail.publiceye.org/exchange/cberlet/Drafts/author%20pages/au_john_green.htm"><FONT face=Arial>John C. Green</FONT></A><FONT face=Arial> and </FONT><A href="https://mail.publiceye.org/exchange/cberlet/Drafts/author%20pages/au_mark_silk.htm"><FONT face=Arial>Mark Silk</FONT></A></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><SPAN lang=en-us><STRONG></STRONG></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><SPAN lang=en-us>-Chip</SPAN></DIV></DIV>
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<FONT face=Tahoma size=2><B>From:</B> lbo-talk-bounces@lbo-talk.org on behalf of Doug Henwood<BR><B>Sent:</B> Mon 6/5/2006 11:37 AM<BR><B>To:</B> lbo-talk<BR><B>Subject:</B> [lbo-talk] politics of SSM<BR></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT size=3><snip></FONT><BR><BR>Matt Dowd and Grover Norquist are dubious at best at the ability of <BR>same-sex marriage initiatives to drive turnout, reports Newsweek's <BR>Rosenberg. LINK<BR><BR>"While the GOP leadership clearly hopes this tack can revive their <BR>sputtering election prospects this fall, some GOP strategists aren't <BR>so sure. Pew polls show a 10-point jump in support for gay marriage <BR>since 2004. And Bush pollster Matthew Dowd doubts it was decisive <BR>last time around. 'It didn't drive turnout in 2004,' he says. 'That <BR>is urban legend.' Turnout was the same in states with bans on the <BR>ballot and those without, Dowd says. GOP consultant Grover Norquist <BR>also questions how gay marriage plays as an electoral issue. Though <BR>social conservatives vote for marriage bans, it's not clear whether <BR>that will translate into votes for GOP candidates. 'We don't have <BR>much to go on,' he says."<BR><BR><snip><BR>___________________________________<BR><A href="http://mailman.lbo-talk.org/mailman/listinfo/lbo-talk">http://mailman.lbo-talk.org/mailman/listinfo/lbo-talk</A><BR></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>