<div><A href="http://www.redstate.com/stories/archived/abc_wapo_gop_within_6_on_generic_ballot">http://www.redstate.com/stories/archived/abc_wapo_gop_within_6_on_generic_ballot</A></div> <H4><A title="Add a new comment to this post." href="http://www.redstate.com/comment/reply/22633#comment_form"></A></H4> <div><A href="http://tks.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MjVmNGU1YzgxYjQ1OWIyNzYxMTdiZmM2NzUxZjlmNzQ=">Via TKS</A>, we learn that the generic ballot has closed to within 6 among likely voters, 10 among registered voters (which means that GOPers are sailing past the likely voter screen, a good indicator): </div> <div> </div> <div>The ABC Washington Post poll generic ballot question, two weeks ago. Compare/contrast with two weeks ago: </div><PRE> Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin. 11/4/06 LV 51 45 1 1 *
2 11/4/06 RV 53 43 1 1 * 3 Dem Rep Other Neither Will not No cand. cand. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opin. 10/22/06 LV 55 41 0 1 * 3 10/22/06 RV 54 41 * 1 * 3 </PRE> <div>In 2002, the only indication we had that Republicans would have a good night came from a NYT/CBS poll released <I>on Monday</I> showing the GOP pulling ahead. Unlike most Presidential elections, midterm elections tend to break and clarify at the very end. </div> <div> </div> <div>If this is true, it would be consistent with the recent tightening we have seen in PA-SEN and MT-SEN, which means the GOP base could be coming home.</div> <div> </div> <div>Bonus tidbit: what did the final poll before the '94 avalanche say? Dems +5%. </div><p> 
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