[lbo-talk] Where's Waldo?

joanna 123hop at comcast.net
Tue Aug 21 20:30:52 PDT 2007


Sabri Oncu used to be an LBO'ster some five years ago. He was a mathematician ( pretty advanced) who fed his family by working for finance wizards of one sort or another. Some five years ago we had a long coffee date in Berkeley, where he tried to explain to me how utterly frightening the repackaging and expansion of debt in America was ...and how he had been hired by a variety of firms to figure out what the risks and the magnitude of leverage and ....all the variables of these transactions were....and how they were going to affect the market. This was for people who wanted to bet on the outcome. And, he said, there was no way to figure that out. No way to comprehend the magnitude and the consequences of the fancy financial instruments. Sabri was a manly man type, and I'll always remember the conversation for his obvious anxiety and frustration.

The chickens are starting to come home to roost. Let's recall that the ARM's are just starting to reset, with many more resetting in the next year and a half. Anyway, check it out. Where is Waldo?

http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/17/magazines/fortune/gross_column.fortune/index.htm?cnn=patrick.net

Joanna



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