[lbo-talk] Juan Cole on why leaving troops behind to fight Al-Q won't work

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Fri Jul 13 13:05:43 PDT 2007


http://www.juancole.com/2007/07/iraq-minorities-in-extreme-peril-bbc.html

Friday, July 13, 2007 Informed Comment

<snip>

This plan of keeping troops in Iraq to fight "al-Qaeda" seems to me

naive. Who is al-Qaeda? If you mean Iraqi Sunnis who have become Salafi

Jihadis, then it seems unlikely that the US military can fight them

successfully with a smaller force. It is just wishful thinking. If

160,000 US troops cannot do it, a smaller force cannot do it. And, the

smaller you make the force, the more the US military becomes a sitting

duck for militias and others. Likewise it is no good saying you'll keep

troops in Kurdistan. Kurdistan is landlocked, and depends heavily for

investment, trade and a route to the rest of the world on Turkey. No

way to provision a US base unless the Turks give in and say they will

permit its provisioning.

If you leave small expeditionary forces inside Iraq to fight

"al-Qaeda," they will likely get massacred at some point, and then

you'll be pulled right back into the maelstrom.

Make as many prudent political and military arrangements for Iraq as

you still have the ability to make, and then . . . get out.

<end excerpt>

Michael



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