[lbo-talk] Narmada Dam (was Arundhati Roy etc.)

Wojtek Sokolowski sokol at jhu.edu
Fri Mar 30 08:48:53 PDT 2007


Michael:

Woj's idea is that all countries must follow the West's technological path.

[WS:] Not slavishly, with local modifications, but more or less. For example, the Soviets modified the Western cartel system to their local conditions - the state took the role played by the banks in the West, but the core was more or less the same. There is no reason why other states cannot take the role of investment banks, except perhaps in Africa where structural conditions would make that difficult. But the bottom line is that one has to build modern economy - industry, commerce, financial system, because that is the only this that has been empirically proven to work. Nothing else has - various excuses notwithstanding.

As to Cuba - Cuba survived peak oil because it initially invested heavily in fixed and human capital by following the Soviet model. Without that investment it would be reduced to the level of the neighboring island economies (Haiti, Dominican Republic). The main problem of Cuba is its geography. If Cuba were located where, say, Brazil is - its development program would turn it into a regional superpower.

Another point. The problem with the Soviet style accelerated development is not that it does not work, but that it is working too well, and moving too fast, and it is leaving large segments of 'rural idiocy' behind. Stalin's solution to that problem - marginalization, suppression, and starvation is not acceptable in the modern world anymore. If memory serves, Cuba conscripted its 'surplus of rural population' and sent them off to fight wars in Africa, but that is not a viable solution either. Of course, capitalism leaves them behind in shanty towns and does not give a shit. But either way, the problem of surplus rural or 'pre-modern' population is there and no effective and acceptable means of solving it exist.

Wojtek



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