[lbo-talk] Southern vs. Northern violence

[Michael McIntyre]

Miles -
You're right that you're still more likely to be a homicide victim in  
New Orleans than in San Francisco.  But this was prompted by a  
dispute between Carl and andie about whether there was some  
"cultural" (for lack of a better word) factor peculiar to the south  
that prompts higher homicide rates there.  "What everyone knows" was  
invoked on each side - that homicide rates are higher in the south,  
that homicide rates are higher in northern cities, etc.  Either way,  
"what everyone knows" is wrong.  Three of the five cities with the  
highest homicide rates are border cities (unadjusted: Baltimore, DC,  
& St. Louis; adjusted: Baltimore, DC, & Kansas City).  But why does  
San Francisco, of all places, have so many more murders than the  
sociodemographic factors would predict?

MM

On May 6, 2007, at 2:37 PM, Miles Jackson wrote:


>
> I don't get the point of this multiple regression model.  What the guy
> did was partial out various sociodemographic factors (not just those
> above, but also divorce rate, population, and residence stability) to
> create the "adjusted" ratings above.  So if the cities were equivalent
> on all these sociodemographic factors that are in fact integral to  
> urban
> life in that city, the cities would show the "adjusted" rankings.  So
> what?  You're still more likely to be a homicide victim in New Orleans
> than in San Francisco.
>
> Miles
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