[lbo-talk] Cuban population, birth rate falling: official

uvj at vsnl.com uvj at vsnl.com
Wed May 30 10:25:14 PDT 2007


Reuters.com

Cuban population, birth rate falling: official http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSN1621412920070516

Wed May 16, 2007

HAVANA (Reuters) - Cuba's population declined in 2006 for the first time in 25 years due to fewer births, the Communist Party newspaper Granma said on Wednesday.

The Cuban population dropped last year by about 4,300 to 11,239,536 inhabitants, according to official statistics.

The number of births dropped to 111,084 in 2006 from 120,716 a year earlier, an 8 percent decline, the country's top demographic expert, Juan Carlos Alfonso, told Granma.

Cuba's populace is aging fast and there is a marked rise in the number of people aged 60 and over compared to other age groups, Alfonso said. Women are deciding to have fewer children, said Alfonso, director of population studies at the National Statistics Office.

On average, Cuban families tend to have only one child. The country has faced economic hardships and overcrowded housing since it lost the support of the Soviet Union 15 years ago.

The government traces the falling birth rate to its policy of providing free contraceptives, mainly condoms, which are used by 70 percent of Cubans aged 15 to 44.

Rising life expectancy -- now at 77 years -- has given Cuba the demographics of the industrialized First World even though it is a Third World nation, officials say.

Today, 16.2 percent of the Cuban population is 60 or over, according to the National Statistics Office. The agency estimated that about one-quarter of the Cuban populace will fall into that category by 2025.

That is a worrying statistic for any society because it means a smaller working population and escalating costs for the state in health care and social security.

Wealthier countries solve the problem with immigration. In Cuba's case, emigration has been a constant since Fidel Castro's revolution in 1959 steered the country to Communism.

© Reuters 2007. All rights reserved.



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