[lbo-talk] 'American kids, dumber than dirt'
Wojtek Sokolowski
sokol at jhu.edu
Thu Nov 1 07:03:34 PDT 2007
Miles:
I don't believe that IQ tests measure "latent general intelligence".
However, your perception of the differences between "actual academic
work" and IQ tests notwithstanding, the fact remains that IQ scores
fairly accurately predict academic outcomes.
[WS:] In the same way, my age 'predicts' the prices of gasoline in the US.
You know as well as I do that correlation does not equal causation, and in
order to predict something you need a causal model, not just statistical
correlations. The IQ and 'aptitude' testing lacks such causal model in a
scientific sense of the word, save for a bunch of racist beliefs about
'general intelligence' or g. Since typical academic tasks differ rather
substantially from those included in 'aptitude' tests (which you seem to
acknowledged in your reply), the existence of g is a necessary assumption to
claim that the latter is a good predictor (in a causal sense) - without such
an assumption the predictive claim is a nonsequitur. I would be interested
to hear how you causally link test scores to academic performance without
assuming some kind of "latent intelligence" they are supposed to measure
Miles:
Well, important for whom? If you want to predict academic performance
or performance in jobs that require extended formal education, IQ tests
do a good job. From the perspective of the capitalist class, that's
pretty important (personnel selection). I don't follow the last
sentence: what do they obscure? Certainly not people's likelihood of
succeeding in various social settings that require formal education!
[WS:] Good question, indeed. There are various statistical techniques that
'predict' business risk or success factors, and they are often 'validated'
in the sense that they make money for people who use them. But then
businessmen and swindlers or various stripes are just into money grubbing,
they do not care whether their risk and profit calculation schemes are built
on accurate causal models or spurious statistical correlations.
I thought that science is held to somewhat higher standards of causal
modeling. Viewing 'aptitude' testing as science, which implies the
existence of a causal model, and treating the market success of that testing
as the validation of its predictive power is a swindle in my book - it
creates a false impression that the charlatans who use such tests are
doctors rather than quacks i.e. they can capture the nature of human
cognition instead of peddling snake oil of spurious correlations.
The difference between a spurious correlational swindle and a bone fide
causal model is that the former gives you a lot of false negatives, whereas
the latter does not. A false negative may not matter that much in money
grubbing schemes - as overidentification of risk is good for the bottom line
- but it matters quite a bit when it wastes actual human lives by baring
them access to societal resources. In that sense, 'aptitude' testing not
only obscures the true nature of human cognition, but it is akin to fascism
that gives access to a good life to a select few and bars it for the
"untermenschen" based on pseudo-scientific beliefs of the 'worthiness' of
human life.
Miles:
Read more psychometrics; it's true that there are hacks like Murray and
Herrnstein associated with psychometrics, but there is a lot of
important scientific work being done in the area (see Max's recent web
links for some interesting, rigorous psychometric stuff). Keep in mind
that IQ testing is not equivalent to psychometrics, and many people with
psychometric training reject the claim (as I do) that IQ measures
general intelligence.
[WS:] Do I also need to read the bible more to know that organized religion
is a bunch of crock? :)
But more seriously, while you are technically correct that not all
psychometrics is about the measurement of 'human worthiness' - its results
are often used to the latter end. Likewise, not all economic theory is the
exoneration of the US-style capitalism - but the discipline is often used to
that end.
It is very difficult to separate "pure" science from its social application,
especially when those applications are highly questionable from an ethical
or a political point of view. The Frankfurt School, especially Max
Horkheimer, made that point by calling such sciences "herrenwissenschaften"
or "master race sciences," and Foucault made a similar point by arguing that
knowledge is almost always inseparable from power relations
("knowledge-power"). Pierre Bourdieu made similar observations in his
analysis of the French academia (_Homo Academicus_). In such cases, the
critique of the applications is a valid critique of the science in question
itself, at least in my book.
Wojtek
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