Right about Hillary, wrong about the reasons. New Hampshire was not an example of the Bradley/Wilder effect; that is white voters telling pollsters they would vote for a black candidate and then backing out in the Voting booth. The pollsters got Obama's vote total correct; very few voters backed out when it came time to vote. What they underestimated was the percentage of women who went for Clinton. Men -- and in NH that is mostly is white men -- stuck with Obama for the most part. White women were the ones who flooded to Hillary.
"Last Friday, Phil Brown had predicted: "2. Hillary will win in New Hampshire, and depending upon how strongthe closet racism factor is, Edwards could actually finish second. Thepoint being that, since New Hampshire voters will make their choice viaa secret ballot process, many (or at least a significant number of) voters who publicly say they support Obama, will switch their vote toHillary (even though she's a woman, she is the establishment candidate)or Edwards, who is more progressive than Hillary or Obama." _________________________________________________________________ Share life as it happens with the new Windows Live. http://www.windowslive.com/share.html?ocid=TXT_TAGHM_Wave2_sharelife_012008