On Jan 9, 2008, at 5:04 PM, Jerry Monaco wrote:
> What is your opinion of this statement?
Seems pretty reasonable. It is true that the pollsters were pretty close on Obama's share, and there were a high level of undecideds - from 8-20%, depending on the poll. It seems like a lot of voters broke at the last minute for Hillary, and her Emotional Moment seems to have had something to do with it. The only way to take in this campaign is as some kind of comic ritual. Also, it is very hard to predict likely voters in these nonpartisan primaries. Partisan affiliation is an important predictor in general elections, but where Dem-leaning independents can vote for McCain, all bets are off.
Doug