On Jan 10, 2008, at 1:22 PM, John Thornton wrote:
> Dennis Claxton wrote:
>>> Put another way, how likely is it that people will claim they are
>>> going
>>> to support a black candidate to mask their negative racial opinions?
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> That's called the "Bradley Effect"
>>
>>
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
>>
>> http://www.newsweek.com/id/45158
>
> Strangely I had totally forgotten about the Bradley effect and was
> referring instead to a general trend among whites to answer non-
> rigorous
> polls in a manner that masks negative racial opinions. The Bradley
> Effect is the same trend only focused specifically on a candidate
> rather
> than on policies, opinions, ideas, etc. Odd that I would recall one
> but
> not the other particularly since the one I forgot is more specific to
> what I was referring.
>
> John Thornton
>
> Josh Holland from Alternet points out via email, correctly,
> concerning my point about the "Bradley Effect" not coming into play
> in Iowa: "The 'Bradley effect' would not work in an open caucus,
> where everyone can see whom everyone else is supporting. The theory
> requires the privacy of a voting booth."