[lbo-talk] exit poll...

John Thornton jthorn65 at sbcglobal.net
Thu Jan 10 14:39:35 PST 2008


Doug Henwood wrote:
> Interesting: Hillary's voters hate Bush more than Obama's, and think
> she's more likely to win than his voters did. And she beat Obama in
> every educational category except postgrad. Her voters are more
> likely to be "falling behind"; his, "getting ahead." Surreally, her
> voters are more eager to get out of Iraq, too.
>
> <http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/
> index.html#NHDEM>

One last question about this. I assume that Hillary pulls in more poor voters than Obama. Could this explain part of the discrepancy? Poor voters being under represented and that under representation not being properly weighted? This seems plausible to me but so does my earlier point about the Bradley Effect, although I didn't call it by that name. Why is the Bradley Effect being dismissed?

John Thornton



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