On Jan 24, 2008, at 4:25 PM, Seth Ackerman wrote:
> The labor force grows by more than 1% per year. Even assuming no
> productivity growth, a zero GDP growth rate over four years would put
> the unemployment rate above 9%, the same as the trough of the 1974-75
> recession.
Yup. Near-0 doesn't mean 0, and people drop out of the labor force if the job market sucks, but 7-8% isn't outlandish.