[lbo-talk] recession severity

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Thu Jan 24 18:19:20 PST 2008

On Jan 24, 2008, at 4:25 PM, Seth Ackerman wrote:

> The labor force grows by more than 1% per year. Even assuming no
> productivity growth, a zero GDP growth rate over four years would put
> the unemployment rate above 9%, the same as the trough of the 1974-75
> recession.

Yup. Near-0 doesn't mean 0, and people drop out of the labor force if the job market sucks, but 7-8% isn't outlandish.

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