On Mar 22, 2008, at 10:16 PM, Julio Huato wrote:
> On the state of the race (a done deal?):
>
> http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_DConv08.cfm
I recently asked the AAPORites to explain the closeness of the polls at the same time the IEM and Intrade had Obama a 70/30 favorite (and similarly the general, which is 60/40 Dem). And why the electronic markets have a better record than polls. They couldn't answer really.
Doug