Don't count Obama out. He's got two things going for him: (1) the US public is sick of the war, and (2) the recession is going to be nasty. Falling home prices hit people right, well, at home.
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Besides McCain is 72 years old and most Americans say that they won't vote for a Presidential candidate who is over 70. The old man's got a lot of other problems too:
http://www.Bush-McCainChallenge.com/?id=12589-2877969-Ep6Zp0
If the Dems are smart, they'll run a Dukakis twin ticket of Obam/Clinton or vice versa.
Mike B)
http://onepuka.com/mrblock.html
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