On May 7, 2008, at 1:21 PM, Julio Huato wrote:
> Are you playing gotcha with me? You are making an apples-to-oranges
> comparison.
Intrade is a winner-take-all judgment on a very evenly divided electorate. The polls have been almost evenly divided for months, with the lead trading back and forth. The sum of the popular vote is quite close too. That's been very stable - it's not noise.
Doug