> He greatly improved the D's share of the under-30 vote. They just
> didn't turn out in disproportionate numbers (though turnout was up
> across the board).
How good are these exit polls at identifying where youth are concentrated, e.g. Universities?
My [University] town has 4 voting precincts, and the data are pretty revealing:
Precinct Dem Rep Total Increase (2008) Millersville Boro - 1st Dist 399 288 690 23% Millersville Boro - 2nd Dist 429 435 866 26% Millersville Boro - 3rd Dist 437 336 783 -1% Millersville Boro - 4th Dist 1146 533 1699 159%
(2004) 2101 247 308 560 2102 333 351 688 2103 336 450 790 2104 414 239 656
The one that had a 159% increase in turnout is the one containing the surrounding off-campus apartments and rental houses.
Matt
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