It looks as if there will be another Conservative minority not very much different from the one we had at dissolution. The election was called only because the Conservatives thought the Liberals were in such disarray with a weak leader that the Conservatives would gain a majority. However, the Conservative leader is widely feared as a right wing ideologue hiding his real agenda. In spite of a weak campaign the Liberals have managed to survive and the Conservatives have lost some ground. Although the outcome tonight could be anything from a Liberal minority to a Conservative majority the most likely result is another Conservative minority.
The Liberals will no doubt jettison their leader Dion but it may be some time before they are bold enough to defeat the government. The last parliament was noteworthy for the Liberals bailing out the Conservatives over 40 times! The left vote is split three ways between Greens, NDP, and Liberals. The NDP is likely to gain up to a half dozen more seats but the Greens will not elect anyone. Some NDP and Green votes will drift over to the Liberals, strategic voting to stop the Conservatives.
Blog: http://kenthink7.blogspot.com/index.html Blog: http://kencan7.blogspot.com/index.html
--- On Mon, 10/13/08, Wojtek Sokolowski <swsokolowski at yahoo.com> wrote:
> From: Wojtek Sokolowski <swsokolowski at yahoo.com>
> Subject: [lbo-talk] Canada election
> To: "lbo-talk" <lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org>
> Date: Monday, October 13, 2008, 2:52 PM
> http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7667338.stm
>
> Everyone has been precoccupied with the US elections, but
> tomorrow our Northern neighbors also vote in what appears
> to be a politically divided environment. Any comments and
> insights?
> Wojtek
>
>
> ---------------------------------------------------------------
> "When a candidate for public office faces the voters
> he does not face men of sense; he faces a mob of men whose
> chief distinguishing mark is the fact that they are quite
> incapable of weighing ideas, or even of comprehending any
> save the most elemental — men whose whole thinking is done
> in terms of emotion, and whose dominant emotion is dread of
> what they cannot understand. So confronted, the candidate
> must either bark with the pack or be lost. [...] All the
> odds are on the man who is, intrinsically, the most devious
> and mediocre — the man who can most adeptly disperse the
> notion that his mind is a virtual vacuum. The Presidency
> tends, year by year, to go to such men." - HL Mencken
> ----------------------------------------------------------------
>
>
>
>
>
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