On Thu, Jul 23, 2009 at 9:59 AM, Matthias Wasser <matthias.wasser at gmail.com>wrote:
> On Wed, Jul 22, 2009 at 2:58 PM, Doug Henwood <dhenwood at panix.com>wrote:
>
>>
>> On Jul 22, 2009, at 2:36 PM, Matthias Wasser wrote:
>>
>> Does "temporary and flexible" neccessarily mean part-time or temp? The
>>> number of careers and jobs an American has over her lifetime has
>>> increased,
>>> for instance.
>>>
>>
>> That's not all that clear either. Here's the history on job tenure. Note
>> that the median number of years on the job for men in 2008 was about a year
>> below what it was in 1966, but that's offset by an increase for women,
>> leaving the overall figure unchanged. Similiarly with the share of workers
>> on the same job for 10 years or more - though those stats only begin in
>> 1983.
>>
>> all men women
>>
>> median job tenure (years)
>> 1951 3.4 3.9 2.2
>> 1963 4.6 5.7 3.0
>> 1966 4.2 5.2 2.8
>> 1968 3.8 4.8 2.4
>> 1973 3.9 4.6 2.8
>> 1978 3.6 4.5 2.6
>> 1981 3.2 4.0 2.5
>> 1983 3.5 4.1 3.1
>> 1987 3.4 4.0 3.0
>> 1991 3.6 4.1 3.2
>> 1996 3.8 4.0 3.5
>> 1998 3.6 3.8 3.4
>> 2000 3.5 3.8 3.3
>> 2002 3.7 3.9 3.4
>> 2004 4.0 4.1 3.8
>> 2006 4.0 4.1 3.9
>> 2008 4.1 4.2 3.9
>>
>> share of over-25 with >10 years
>> 1983 31.9 37.7 24.9
>> 1987 30.7 35.0 25.7
>> 1991 32.2 35.9 28.2
>> 1996 30.5 33.1 27.6
>> 1998 30.7 32.7 28.4
>> 2000 31.5 33.4 29.5
>> 2002 30.8 32.6 28.8
>> 2004 30.6 32.4 28.6
>> 2006 30.0 31.1 28.8
>> 2008 31.5 32.9 30.0
>>
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>>
>
> Where are you getting your numbers? BLS seems to show something more
> dramatic, at least for men:
>
> Median years of service with current employer, men and women age 35-54, by
> age group, 1983 and 2000
>
> Median years of service
> 1983 2000
> Men
> 35 to 39 6.1 4.8
> 40 to 44 9.7 6.2
> 45 to 49 11.8 9.1
> 50 to 54 14.2 9.9
>
> Women
> 35 to 39 3.9 3.7
> 40 to 44 4.3 4.9
> 45 to 49 5.5 6.6
> 50 to 54 7.4 8.1
>
> Of course, these numbers are only for the middle-aged. The difference
> seems significant for older men as well<http://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2000/Aug/wk4/art05.htm>.
> So maybe new job market entrants are having longer tenure?
>