[lbo-talk] Juan Cole: preliminary reactions to the Iranian vote totals

Michael Pollak mpollak at panix.com
Sun Jun 14 19:53:04 PDT 2009


On Sun, 14 Jun 2009, Robert Naiman of Just Foreign Policy
> <www.justforeignpolicy.org> was quoted saying:


> But the evidence that has been presented so far that the election was
> stolen has not been convincing....

<snip>


> The poll was conducted between May 11 and May 20

A month ago! All the other polls changed drastically in the last month.

There's data problems no matter what you try, but extrapolating this elaborately from a single poll with no track record is always a mug's game. And when you add that it's from a month ago in this context, it just seems silly. This doesn't have any more credibility than a streetcorner sample; maybe less.

Michael



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