I doubt it tremendously. The Orange people have been totally discredited since they started shouting "traitor!" at each other. Intuitively, I ould think it would be either Yanukovich or somebody associated with him. That is, somebody from the Eastern Ukrainian group.
Really, the Orange government was a collossal failure in every respect, even by their own criteria. Ukraine has not moved a centimeter nearer to either NATO or EU membership. NATO and the EU do not want basket cases as members. Nor does NATO want a country to be a member in which NATO could only enter the eastern half as an occupying army. NATOP membership for Ukraine would most likely involve civil war, and I really don't think that Germany and France want to offer up their own citizens as cannon fodder.
--- On Thu, 6/18/09, dredmond at efn.org <dredmond at efn.org> wrote:
> From: dredmond at efn.org <dredmond at efn.org>
> Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] paranoia
> To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org
> Date: Thursday, June 18, 2009, 8:54 PM
> On Thu, June 18, 2009 5:15 pm, Chris
> Doss wrote:
>
> > The Orange Revo succeeded because the Ukrainian
> nationalists are better
> > organized than the pro-Russian majority population of
> Ukraine.
>
> So is Tymoshenko pretty much a shoo-in to become the next
> President? And
> if so, will that mean some degree of stabilization and
> political
> pragmatism?
>
> -- DRR
>
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>