[lbo-talk] 1400%

ravi ravi at platosbeard.org
Sat Jun 27 21:06:01 PDT 2009


On Jun 27, 2009, at 12:57 AM, Michael Pollak wrote:
> On Fri, 26 Jun 2009, Michael Smith wrote:
>
>> This "1400%" pseudo-number is clearly going to become a Bloody Shirt.
>
> It's not pseudo-number, Michael. It's perfectly standard procedure
> when comparing elections to consider the absolute number of votes
> rather than their shares precisely because, as you say, so many
> things change -- the field, the issues -- that's it's often hard to
> compare. But what doesn't change is that to increase your vote, you
> have to get people to vote for you who didn't the first time for one
> reason or another. You have to get those votes from somewhere,
> usually at some cost to your base. Sometimes people double their
> vote between elections in absolute terms. It's rare, and it's
> remarkable. But nobody ever 14-folds it.
>

Is this the report under discussion:

http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/files/14234_iranelection0609.pdf

It seems to have no mention of 1400%. Can someone shed some light on where this number comes from?

--ravi



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