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-----Original Message----- From: lbo-talk-bounces at lbo-talk.org on behalf of Ismail Lagardien Sent: Sun 22/11/2009 11:38 To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org Subject: [lbo-talk] Google Wave
Is anyone on this list subscribed to Google Wave... I was give access, but I don't have a way of "inviting" people so I may test drive the damn thing!
Aluta Continua!
________________________________ From: Itamar Turner-Trauring (aka Shtull-Trauring) <itamar at itamarst.org> To: lbo-talk at lbo-talk.org Sent: Sat, 21 November, 2009 15:01:26 Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] climate change
On Sat, 2009-11-21 at 11:21 -0600, Michael McIntyre wrote:
> Taleb's approach wouldn't explain why different models consistently
> predict the same trend.
Given lack of time to research the subject, I personally assume global warming is an actual real problem ... but such a belief ought not be a pre-condition for reducing emissions (and supporting reducing pollution in general.)
As far as matching models Taleb would no doubt point out that most economists' models showed that the chance of the financial crash we just experienced was nil. Saying the models have similar results in insufficient to argue they are correct. Taleb's position is not that global warming does or doesn't exist, just that over-reliance on incomplete models is problematic. What if in 10 years all the models are revised based on new theories or data and scientists conclude global warming isn't happening? Spewing out measurable amounts of CO2 is *still* a bad idea.
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