[lbo-talk] Prospects and consequences of a devalued USD

brad bauerly bbauerly at gmail.com
Mon Feb 1 14:21:10 PST 2010



> If the renmindi traded freely in currency markets, you'd probably see a
> big movement into it from the USD and other major currencies. But maybe
> there are some FX traders on the list who have a better understanding of
> these gyrations.
>
> What would happen if the Chinese floated the renmindi on the open market is
that currency speculators would instantly buy it up force it through the roof and then dump it. The whole Chinese project of economic development would be undermined and the global economy would spin into a downturn that would make the last year look like the roaring 20s. The Chinese, nor the Europeans, neither want, nor will they let, their currencies replace the US dollar. It would be a complete disaster for their economies. Besides it is in the short-term (say 10+ years) physically impossible. There are not enough Euros or Yuan on the global market to take the place of the US dollar.

What is the reason that the bourgeois press is talking about the inevitable decline of the US dollar? Because it helps capital and hurts labour.

Brad



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