[lbo-talk] An Orgy of Speculation?

Peter Fay peterrfay at gmail.com
Sat Mar 5 20:14:58 PST 2011


Sorry, guys, I have no knowledge nor interest in who sued whom, who's on the in's or out's with URPE, etc. I just want to know the facts. Not being an expert, I have reviewed a number of analyses of the rate of profit in the US, and Kliman's doesn't seem particularly different from many of the others: Chris Harman, 2010 - http://www.isj.org.uk/?id=613 : "aggregating the different investments made at different times in a particular period is a necessarily complicated procedure, and most attempts to measure national rates of profit use a different procedure—that of current cost accounting. The profit made in a given year is measured against the market value (ie the replacement cost) of the structures and equipment used. This necessarily leads to a distortion in the figures since any increase in productivity since the investment was made will mean that its current market value is less than what was laid out on it: the rate of profit will appear higher than it actually was. [...] "Andrew Kliman has attempted to provide figures that eliminate both sorts of distortion, using historic cost calculations that attempt to remove the effect of inflation.17 <http://www.isj.org.uk/?id=613#125husson_17> The overall pattern of his graphs is not completely dissimilar to that of Brenner, Mohun and Moseley—except that they show a much smaller recovery of profitability from the low point of the early 1980s"

Brenner seems to show roughly the same conclusions as the others - rate of profit never recovered...

Brenner, http://escholarship.org/uc/item/0sg0782h.pdf : "Even as the millennium drew to a close, the rates of profit for both the manufacturing sectors and the total private economies of the US, Japan, and Germany, as well as Korea, were not close to regaining their former levels, and, despite much hype and misinformation to the contrary, they failed to do so during the current business cycle right up to the present."

Does anyone have anything to say these are incorrect? That is, concrete facts, tables, charts rather than simply saying one needs one's 'head examined'? What I'm seeing is conclusions from various Marxist economists based on US Bureau of Economic Affairs NIPA tables which seem fairly reasoned.

Peter Fay http://theclearview.wordpress.com

On Sat, Mar 5, 2011 at 2:01 PM, Doug Henwood <dhenwood at panix.com> wrote:


>
> On Mar 5, 2011, at 1:54 PM, SA wrote:
>
> > On 3/5/2011 1:38 PM, Peter Fay wrote:
> >
> >> Not to rain on this parade, but did profitability really rise 1982-97?
> >> Andrew Kliman argues nominal rates rose then, but profit rates adjusted
> to
> >> money prices, etc. show a continual decline(hope he doesn't mind me
> quoting
> >> his rough draft - "Value and Crisis: Bichler& Nitzan versus Marx"):
> >
> > Kliman has also done interesting work on the sociology of knowledge:
> http://akliman.squarespace.com/stop-character-assassination/
>
> He also sued URPE because its journal rejected a paper he submitted.
>
> Doug
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