[lbo-talk] Prepare for riots in euro collapse, Foreign Office warns

James Heartfield Heartfield at blueyonder.co.uk
Tue Nov 29 12:30:28 PST 2011


(British) Foreign Office hopes, more like. There is no doubt that the European Economy is in bad shape, but ‘collapse in the Euro’ is a bit fantastical, and also a bit ambiguous. Of course the Euro can lose value, that is already happening (though, not it seems as much as Sterling has lost value in my recent experience – after all, Sterling’s value was much more inflated by the pre-2008 asset boom than was the Euro, which is lucky enough to have a very solid industrial base behind it).

But there is also a lot of meaningless speculation about the disintegration of the Euro as a currency, which is simply unjustified. The Euro will no more ‘fail’ that the dollar will ‘fail’. There is no way that the Eurozone participants could return to their national currencies, which just don’t exist anymore. The idea that the Greeks would return to the Drachma was bizarre. How would it make sense to try to found a new currency precisely at the point that your economy was screwed? What would you back the currency with? And why would Greece’s debtors think that was a good idea?

As is abundantly clear, the crisis in the European Union, which is exacerbated by the economic crisis – but is predated a political crisis of legitimacy – will always lead to a greater degree of institutional integration of the European Union (unless or until such a time that there is a new political movement in Europe, either national or Europe-wide). Already that can be seen in the suspension of the party political process in Greece and Italy, and the substitution of European officials like Mario Monti for an elected government. Make no mistake, this is the slow erosion of democracy in Europe, and its subvention by a Euro-bureaucracy.

Riots? Maybe. But until the demonstrators take on the EU itself, there will be no challenge to its ‘ever greater union’.



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