[lbo-talk] Fwd: if you have time...

Tony Rolfe mr.tony.rolfe at gmail.com
Wed Jan 18 05:17:12 PST 2012


Hi, long-time lurker with a question. I'm a chip designer with a couple CFA exams behind me, but my dad is sort of a unionist, so you can imagine... I would love it if anyone here could make some sense of something:

Awhile back I think Doug on his show had a beef with CBO growth rates---too low for too long, and that such inputs are left unexamined.

This from Mauldin's newsletter which is influential, and quotes big money managers:

"...an influential 2010 historical study of high-debt-level economies around the world, by Professors Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart, that concluded that when a country’s gross government debt rises above 90% of GDP, 'median growth rates fall by one percent, and average growth falls considerably more.'"

Are Rogoff/Reinhart at or near the heart of the "low growth is here to stay" idea?



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