life expectancy in FSU

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Tue Oct 13 15:50:53 PDT 1998


[This bounced as a nonmember submission. To answer the question, I first picked up this fact in the World Bank's journal Transition. - Doug]


>Date: Tue, 13 Oct 1998 14:59:05 -0700
>From: John Dinardo <jdinardo at uci.edu>
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>To: lbo-talk at lists.panix.com
>Subject: Life Expectancy in former Soviet Union/Eastern Europe
>References: <199810131850.OAA07342 at dont.panix.com>
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>In the most recent LBO (#85, Sept 27, 1998) Mr. Henwood writes:
>
>[In Russia,]...Life expectancy is back at late 19th century levels, and
>the population seems to be shrinking, something not seen in modern times
>in a country not at war.
>
>This is not a particularly controversial assertion among demographers,
>and if I had to bet money on this I would say this assertion
>is correct, but I have not been able to find any data documenting this.
>Where did your data come from?
>
>Indeed, in my source (United Nations, State of the World's Children) has
>the following information on "life expectancy" (a sample)
>
>
> 1960 1970 1990 1995 1996
>
>Armenia 68 72 71 73 71
>Azerbaijan 64 68 70 71 71
>Belarus 69 71 73 71 71
>Georgia 65 68 72 73 73
>Russia 69 69 70 68 65
>Uzbekistan 60 63 69 70 68
>
>This seems to give a somewhat different (although
>not necessarily inconsistent) picture of the situation.
>
>For Infant Mortality, the patterns are quite different:
>(number of deaths under the age of 1 per 1000 births)
>
> 1960 1990 1995 1996
>Armenia 38 35 26 25
>Azerbaijan 55 44 34 34
>Belarus 37 20 17 14
>Georiga 52 32 22 23
>Russia 48 22 27 20
>Uzbekistan 84 64 50 46
>
>Again this might be explained by differential fertility, but the picture
>again is different than one may have expected.
>
>
>Any other sources of data?
>



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