Henry C.K. Liu
Brad De Long wrote:
> >
> >There's some point at which his gain in political support due to
> >the bombing is outweighed by the damage to his country. I would
> >say he's beyond that point. I think he could offer a deal and
> >get most of what he wants from Nato.
> >
> >mbs
>
> Now you are thinking like a National Security Council staffer.
>
> Why is avoiding *any* damage to his country worth even the smallest chance
> of losing face? He can go down in history as the leader under whom NATO
> inflicted terrible punishment on the Serbs, but they resisted and they
> endured and they prevailed (because NATO eventually went away), thus
> retaining the historical core lands of the Serbs for Serbia. He can go down
> in history as the leader who buckled under to NATO pressure, starting the
> chain of events that led to Kosovan independence.
>
> If you were Milosevic, which would you choose? As long as he is confident
> that NATO will eventually get bored and go away, the first option would
> seem more attractive to Milosevic...
>
> Brad DeLong