Fed tightens

Doug Henwood dhenwood at panix.com
Wed Jun 30 11:30:53 PDT 1999


So the Fed tightened, pushing their fed funds target up a modest quarter point. But they shifted to a neutral bias ("no predilection about near-term policy action"), meaning no leaning towards further tightening before the next FOMC meeting in six weeks. That almost looks like a license to speculate, and the bond and stock markets immediately rallied on the news. If Greenspan was trying to deflate asset prices gently, it sure doesn't look like the right policy to do that.

Doug

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<http://www.bog.frb.fed.us/BoardDocs/Press/General/1999/19990630/DEFAULT.HTM> Release Date: June 30, 1999 For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee today voted to raise its target for the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 5 percent. Last fall the Committee reduced interest rates to counter a significant seizing-up of financial markets in the United States. Since then much of the financial strain has eased, foreign economies have firmed, and economic activity in the United States has moved forward at a brisk pace. Accordingly, the full degree of adjustment is judged no longer necessary.

Labor markets have continued to tighten over recent quarters, but strengthening productivity growth has contained inflationary pressures.

Owing to the uncertain resolution of the balance of conflicting forces in the economy going forward, the FOMC has chosen to adopt a directive that includes no predilection about near-term policy action. The Committee, nonetheless, recognizes that in the current dynamic environment it must be especially alert to the emergence, or potential emergence, of inflationary forces that could undermine economic growth.



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