searching for econ paper

Les Schaffer godzilla at netmeg.net
Mon Apr 24 07:28:39 PDT 2000


I am trying to track down an economics paper for someone. They read the paper several years ago, and this is all they remmeber:

> I read an article last year where two economists developed a model

> predicting that a disproportionate fraction of groundbreaking

> academic papers should be wrong. Basically, they assumed that

> since funding stems from status, and status stems from writing

> ground breaking papers, there's an incentive to draw flashy,

> counterintuitive conclusions rather than confirming prior work.

...

> I think it was published in either 1998 or 1999. I saw a reference

> to it in the New York Times, which referenced an issue of _Science_

> magazine. _Science_ just had a blurb pointing to a journal article,

> and there my memory ends.

does anyone know this paper and have a reference to it?

many thanks

les schaffer



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