searching for econ paper

[Brad De Long]

>I am trying to track down an economics paper for someone. They read
>the paper several years ago, and this is all they remmeber:
>
>   > I read an article last year where two economists developed a model
>   > predicting that a disproportionate fraction of groundbreaking
>   > academic papers should be wrong. Basically, they assumed that
>   > since funding stems from status, and status stems from writing
>   > ground  breaking papers, there's an incentive to draw flashy,
>   > counterintuitive conclusions rather than confirming prior work.
>
>...
>
>  > I think it was published in either 1998 or 1999. I saw a reference
>  > to it in the New York Times, which referenced an issue of _Science_
>  > magazine. _Science_ just had a blurb pointing to a journal article,
>  > and there my memory ends.
>
>does anyone know this paper and have a reference to it?
>
>many thanks
>
>les schaffer

Maybe you're talking about:

J. Bradford DeLong and Kevin Lang, "Are All Economic Hypotheses 
False?" Journal of Political Economy 100:6 (December 1992), pp. 
1257-72

But maybe you aren't. If it's something else, I'm curious...