WSJ on wealth

Brad De Long delong at econ.Berkeley.EDU
Thu Jan 20 14:17:01 PST 2000



>Brad DeLong wrote:
>
>> As long as the U.S. foreign debt is denominated in dollars, I ain't
>> worried...
>>
>>
> You seem to be saying that as long as our foreign debt is in
>dollars, we can always pay down our debt by printing more dollars. But
>couldn't that just scare investors even more, causing them to shift their
>money into euros? And couldn't it effectively spell an end to the era when
>America could habitually run big, chronic external deficits?
>
> And if America couldn't run big, chronic deficits anymore, how would
>the world economy keep growing? After all, didn't U.S. imports represent
>something like half of 1998's world GDP growth? Those imports were financed
>by foreign borrowing, right?
>
> Seth

Oh, that would be bad. But if our foreign debt were denominated in euros or yen, things could become much worse...

Brad DeLong --

-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- "Now 'in the long run' this [way of summarizing the quantity theory of money] is probably true.... But this long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. **In the long run** we are all dead. Economists set themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again."

--J.M. Keynes -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- J. Bradford De Long; Professor of Economics, U.C. Berkeley; Co-Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives. Dept. of Economics, U.C. Berkeley, #3880 Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 (510) 643-4027; (925) 283-2709 phones (510) 642-6615; (925) 283-3897 faxes http://econ161.berkeley.edu/ <delong at econ.berkeley.edu>



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