again on china

[Mark Jones]

I read the same USDA report as Tom and eyewitness testimony (more credible,
maybe) to the same effect: that there is more arable than officially
declared. But none of the figures add up,  truth remains unclear. I'll do
some more digging.

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList


> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com
> [mailto:owner-lbo-talk at lists.panix.com]On Behalf Of Doug Henwood
> Sent: 11 May 2000 15:43
> To: lbo-talk at lists.panix.com
> Subject: Re: again on china
>
>
> M A Jones wrote:
>
> >Lester Brown's 1997 piece on how China won't be able to feed itself is
> >archived at:
> >http://www.britannica.com/bcom/magazine/article/0,5744,7155,00.html
> >
> >I read yesterday somewhere that if China accedes to the WTO its arable
> >agriculture, wheat in partic, will be decimated by cheap imports
> capturing
> >30% + of the doemstic market. One of Lester Brown's assumptions is that
> >world grain surpluses would soon be swallowed by Chinese demand
> IN EXCESS of
> >its own (failing) domestic production. What's the stroty here?
>
> If I had the nerve, I'd love to do a Julian Simon-style bet with
> Brown on this. I suspect these disasters won't materialize.
>
> Doug
>