election demographics

LeoCasey at aol.com LeoCasey at aol.com
Wed Nov 8 12:01:57 PST 2000


If the national numbers apply to FLA, then the 1.6% for Nader does do it after removing the 30% new voters and the 21% Bush voters from his total, and even accounting for Buchanan, et al (some of whose voters would support Gore over Bush, etc.).
> Yes, Nader made the difference in Florida.
>
Barkley:

You are making a logical argument to a brick wall. The current numbers have Nader with approximately 96,000 votes in Florida, and the gap between Bush and Gore at somewhere around 1600. If, after you factor out those Nader voters who would vote for noone else and and the great mass who would have gone to Bush and Buchanan, all you would need is a net gain for Gore of 1 out of every 10 Naders voters to have a 7000+ vote lead. The lowest estimate I have seen is that Gore would pick up a net gain of about 1 in 2 Nader voters ie, you could divide the Nader vote by half, and that is the additional plus margin Gore would have obtained if Nader was not on the ballot. But don't expect such inconvenient facts to change some minds.

Leo Casey United Federation of Teachers 260 Park Avenue South New York, New York 10010-7272 (212-598-6869)

Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never has, and it never will. If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and yet deprecate agitation are men who want crops without plowing the ground. They want rain without thunder and lightening. They want the ocean without the awful roar of its waters. -- Frederick Douglass --

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