election demographics

[Gregory Geboski]

One other point about Nader votes or non-votes: The returns seem to indicate 
that the Gore "A vote for Nader is a vote for Bush" tactics worked rather 
well. Nader got 6%, for example, in two safely Democratic states 
(Massachusetts and Rhode Island), where Nader voters knew they weren't going 
to swing the election, while Nader did poorly in many leaning-Democratic 
"borderline" states. The fact that these poor showings were still enough to 
swing the vote in places like Florida tends to obscure this.

In fact, this probably cost Nader his 5%. Should he start whining about how 
Gore stole the election from him?

----Original Message Follows----
From: "J. Barkley Rosser, Jr." <rosserjb at jmu.edu>
Reply-To: lbo-talk at lists.panix.com
To: <lbo-talk at lists.panix.com>
Subject: Re: election demographics
Date: Thu, 9 Nov 2000 18:06:11 -0500

Brad,

       You're ovedoing it here.  Clearly the Greens
have been very poorly organized so far.  But
a low turnout does not mean they are dead.  Indeed,
I do think that playing the spoiler (which may not be
the case, given the latest numbers I am hearing out
of FLA), has given them a lot of attention.  Granted,
a lot of it has been negative.  But, I know that the
students in Amnesty International here are almost
all pro-Nader, pro-Green.  The party has legs.  Where
it will walk on them is another matter.
Barkley Rosser
-----Original Message-----
From: Brad DeLong <delong at econ.Berkeley.EDU>
To: lbo-talk at lists.panix.com <lbo-talk at lists.panix.com>
Date: Thursday, November 09, 2000 3:52 PM
Subject: Re: election demographics

 >>From: "Justin Schwartz" <jkschw at hotmail.com>

 >>

 >>>  Brad gave up on winning a long time ago. "That's the way it is," He
just

 >>>  wants to slow down the rate of losing. To think of winning is "mad."

 >>Right,

 >>>  Brad? --jks

 >>

 >>What you don't understand is that things such as voter realignment and

 >>movement building are *exogenous variables*, and good economists don't do

 >>*exogenous variables*. The best you can expect of them is to support the

 >>lesser evil within the immutable iron cage.

 >>

 >>mark

 >>

 >

 >3% of the vote on your second campaign is not "building a movement."

 >It's "being a spoiler."

 >

 >A movement should have 25% of the vote on its second campaign to be

 >healthy. If it has less than 10%, it's dead...

 >

 >Brad DeLong

 >

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